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Emari Demercado

Emari Demercado Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

Emari Demercado Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The predictive model expects Emari Demercado to total 3.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.

The predictive model expects Emari Demercado to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack this week (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).

Emari Demercado has put up a massive 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 87th percentile among running backs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals as the 9th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tennessee defensive ends project as the 4th-best DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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