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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+570/-720).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -600 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -720.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
  • Emanuel Wilson's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 93.2% to 100.0%.
  • The rushing touchdown field reads "0" on Emanuel Wilson's box scores this year.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has been torched for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (88.2%) to RBs this year (88.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Green Bay Packers rank as the 7th-most run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 54.5% red zone run rate.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run only 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • As it relates to air yards, Emanuel Wilson ranks in the measly 17th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -4.0 per game.
  • Emanuel Wilson's 3.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks among the worst in football: 22nd percentile for running backs.
  • The receiving touchdown field reads "0" on the back of Emanuel Wilson's trading card this year.

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