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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+780/-1900).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1650 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1900.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Packers to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% red zone pass rate.
  • Emanuel Wilson has garnered a measly 0.0% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 1st percentile among RBs.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Cleveland's collection of DEs has been very good since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Packers being a giant 7-point favorite in this game.
  • The leading projections forecast the Packers to call the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Packers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
  • With a bottom-tier 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Emanuel Wilson ranks among the pass-catching running backs with the lowest utilization rates near the goal line in the NFL.

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