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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+370/-495).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -550 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -495.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Emanuel Wilson rates as one of the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to RBs, hauling in an excellent 92.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in football vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year (73.9% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the porous Chicago Bears defense has conceded a colossal 0.21 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing RBs: the 10th-worst rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 51.1% rate of running the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-centric offense in the league in these cases has been the Packers.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Emanuel Wilson has compiled a paltry -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 17th percentile among RBs.
  • Emanuel Wilson has not caught any touchdowns this year.

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