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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+110/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 53.7% rate of running the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-most run-oriented team in the NFL in these situations has been the Green Bay Packers.
  • Emanuel Wilson has accrued a feeble -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile among RBs.
  • With a lousy rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Emanuel Wilson stands as one of the bottom receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to running backs this year.
  • This year, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has yielded a measly 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the tough Detroit Lions defense has yielded a puny 0.00 passing TDs per game to opposing running backs: the lowest rate in the NFL.

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