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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+355/-475).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -475.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 60.4% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • With an exceptional 92.9% Adjusted Completion Rate (75th percentile) this year, Emanuel Wilson has been among the most reliable receivers in the league among RBs.
  • The Lions linebackers profile as the 2nd-best LB corps in football this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 55.1% rate of running the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most run-oriented team in the NFL in these situations has been the Green Bay Packers.
  • The projections expect the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Emanuel Wilson has accrued a feeble -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among RBs.
  • With a lousy rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Emanuel Wilson stands as one of the bottom receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to running backs this year.
  • This year, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has yielded a measly 66.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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