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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Emanuel Wilson's rushing efficiency (4.80 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (79th percentile when it comes to running backs).
  • Opposing teams have run for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the league (140 per game) vs. the Bengals defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.05 seconds per snap.
  • Emanuel Wilson has been on the field for 18.1% of his offense's snaps this year, ranking him in the 18th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Emanuel Wilson's 18.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys a significant reduction in his running proficiency over last season's 29.0 figure.
  • The Bengals safeties project as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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