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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-121/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to run on 46.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The Bears defense has had the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding 5.06 adjusted yards-per-carry.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Chicago's DT corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Green Bay Packers will be starting backup QB Clayton Tune in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (just 54.9 per game on average).
  • The model projects Emanuel Wilson to be a much smaller piece of his offense's run game in this game (13.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (25.6% in games he has played).
  • Emanuel Wilson's 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a noteworthy decline in his running skills over last year's 4.8 mark.

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