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With a 7.5-point advantage, the Packers are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to run on 47.4% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.The Giants defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, conceding 5.78 adjusted yards-per-carry.When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, New York's collection of safeties has been dreadful this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
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