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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Emanuel Wilson to total 3.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
  • The projections expect Emanuel Wilson to be a more important option in his team's passing offense in this game (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.3% in games he has played).
  • The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 7th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
  • This year, the strong Minnesota Vikings defense has surrendered a puny 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.

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