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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 60.4% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Emanuel Wilson has accumulated substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (8.0) this season than he did last season (3.0).
  • With an exceptional 92.9% Adjusted Completion Rate (75th percentile) this year, Emanuel Wilson has been among the most reliable receivers in the league among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Emanuel Wilson has accrued a feeble -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among RBs.
  • Emanuel Wilson ranks as one of the worst RBs in football at grinding out extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
  • This year, the imposing Lions defense has yielded a meager 27.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 7th-best in the league.
  • This year, the fierce Detroit Lions defense has given up the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a paltry 5.0 yards.

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