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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.05 seconds per snap.
  • Emanuel Wilson has been on the field for 18.1% of his offense's snaps this year, ranking him in the 18th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Bengals safeties project as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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