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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Carries
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to run on 46.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Chicago's DT corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Green Bay Packers will be starting backup QB Clayton Tune in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (just 54.9 per game on average).
  • The model projects Emanuel Wilson to be a much smaller piece of his offense's run game in this game (13.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (25.6% in games he has played).

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