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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Elijah Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+680/-700).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -840 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -700.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • The Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Falcons pass defense has been gouged for a massive 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 7th-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
  • The Atlanta Falcons safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • With a bottom-tier 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Elijah Moore rates as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.
  • Elijah Moore has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (6.0 per game) than he did last season (55.0 per game).

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