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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • The Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Falcons pass defense has been gouged for a massive 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • Elijah Moore's 24.8% Route Participation Rate this season indicates a noteworthy decline in his pass game utilization over last season's 77.2% mark.
  • Elijah Moore's play as a receiver has diminished this season, totaling just 0.8 adjusted catches compared to 3.7 last season.

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