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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-235/+175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -245 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Saints defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.8 per game) since the start of last season.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season.
  • The Saints cornerbacks profile as the 10th-worst group of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a huge 14.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bills since the start of last season (only 56.0 per game on average).
  • Elijah Moore's 25.0% Route% this season indicates a noteworthy diminishment in his pass attack utilization over last season's 77.2% mark.
  • Elijah Moore's 1.0 adjusted catches per game this year indicates an impressive decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 3.7 figure.

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