Elijah Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+144/-186).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -186.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 132.9 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.7 plays per game.
Elijah Moore has been used less as a potential target this year (86.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (75.6%).
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.
Elijah Moore's 3.8 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching talent over last season's 2.8 mark.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
This year, the fierce Steelers defense has given up a puny 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.
The Steelers linebackers project as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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