Elijah Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · New York Jets

Receptions

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Elijah Moore to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack this week (18.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (12.1% in games he has played).
Elijah Moore's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% jumping from 58.2% to 61.3%.

Favors Under

The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Elijah Moore's play as a receiver has diminished this season, averaging a mere 2.9 yards per game vs 3.9 last season.
The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have incorporated play action on a measly 23.1% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-least in football), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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