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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • The Bills offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Elijah Moore's 6.8 adjusted yards per target this year indicates an impressive gain in his pass-catching talent over last year's 5.7 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 29.1 per game) this year.
  • Elijah Moore's 27.6% Route Participation Rate this year signifies a significant decrease in his air attack workload over last year's 77.2% mark.
  • Elijah Moore has put up far fewer air yards this year (15.0 per game) than he did last year (55.0 per game).

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