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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns will be starting backup QB Jameis Winston this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Browns are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cleveland Browns.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (41.1 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Elijah Moore has totaled far fewer air yards this season (23.0 per game) than he did last season (69.0 per game).
  • Elijah Moore's 26.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 43.4.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Elijah Moore has accrued a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).
  • Elijah Moore's 5.1 adjusted yards per target this season represents a significant diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 7.0 rate.

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