Elijah Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns · Week 4, 2024

Updated Sep 29, 2024 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the league (62.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Browns.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 131.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
The largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 63.6 per game on average).
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
When talking about air yards, Elijah Moore grades out in the lofty 75th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a striking 63.0 per game.

Favors Under

Elijah Moore's 33.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 43.4.
Elijah Moore's receiving effectiveness has diminished this year, averaging a mere 4.73 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.99 mark last year.

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