Elijah Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 79.0% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 148.3 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.
The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a massive 62.8 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Elijah Moore to accrue 8.9 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
After accumulating 69.0 air yards per game last season, Elijah Moore has seen a big decrease this season, now averaging 56.0 per game.
As it relates to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Browns ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
With a bad 6.3 adjusted yards per target (6th percentile) this year, Elijah Moore stands as one of the worst WRs in the game in football.
Elijah Moore's 2.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a substantial decrease in his efficiency in space over last year's 3.2% rate.

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