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Elijah Mitchell

Elijah Mitchell Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Elijah Mitchell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+780/-5500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -4700 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -5500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.2% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chiefs.
  • The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are predicted by the projections to run only 64.2 offensive plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • This year, the daunting Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded a puny 76.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-best rate in the league.
  • The Colts defense has given up the 8th-fewest receiving touchdowns in the league to RBs: 0.10 per game this year.

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