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Elijah Mitchell

Elijah Mitchell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Elijah Mitchell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year at blocking for the run game.

Elijah Mitchell's rushing efficiency has gotten better this season, notching 6.15 yards-per-carry compared to a mere 4.56 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Elijah Mitchell has been a much smaller piece of his offense's run game this year (30.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (65.8%).

Elijah Mitchell has run for a lot fewer yards per game (55.0) this season than he did last season (67.0).

The San Francisco 49ers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box against opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on just 3.4% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

More Elijah Mitchell Player Props

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