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Elic Ayomanor

Elic Ayomanor Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Elic Ayomanor Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+440/-690).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -670 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -690.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (59.9% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.
  • This year, the shaky Chiefs defense has been gouged for a colossal 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-largest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Titans to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.
  • This year, the daunting Chiefs defense has given up a paltry 0.64 passing touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers: the 7th-best rate in the league.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Kansas City's CB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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