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Elic Ayomanor

Elic Ayomanor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Elic Ayomanor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Houston's safety corps has been awful since the start of last season, projecting as the 6th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the daunting Texans defense has given up a measly 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the best rate in football.
  • Since the start of last season, the fierce Houston Texans defense has conceded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a mere 7.5 yards.

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