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Elic Ayomanor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-118/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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With a 13.5-point advantage, the Titans are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard game plan.Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Titans to pass on 50.7% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.The Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (39.8 per game) this year.The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all air attack metrics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The model projects the Titans to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.This year, the strong Jaguars defense has allowed a puny 61.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wideouts this year, giving up 6.99 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.
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