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Dylan Sampson

Dylan Sampson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Dylan Sampson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1600/-4900).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -5500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4900.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The 3rd-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a monstrous 62.6 per game on average).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) this year.
  • This year, the feeble Steelers defense has allowed a monstrous 79.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's LB corps has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (57.9% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cleveland Browns.
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 10th-most TDs in the league (1.00 per game) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

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