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Dylan Sampson

Dylan Sampson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Dylan Sampson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.
  • This year, the porous Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has been torched for a massive 85.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 9th-worst rate in the league.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's LB corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • The Cleveland O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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