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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

Dyami Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -405 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -400.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The model projects the Jaguars to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 7th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 59.3 per game on average).

The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.7 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast Dyami Brown to be much less involved in his team's passing game near the end zone in this week's game (14.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (23.8% in games he has played).

Dyami Brown's 59.1% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys an impressive diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 78.0% figure.

This year, the strong Rams defense has surrendered a paltry 0.67 passing touchdowns per game to opposing wideouts: the 7th-lowest rate in football.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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