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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dyami Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+3500/-14500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -10000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -14500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Jaguars as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).
  • After averaging 18.0 air yards per game last season, Dyami Brown has produced significantly more this season, now sitting at 38.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars rank as the 10th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 50.1% red zone run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.3 per game) this year.
  • Dyami Brown, who has garnered 1.1% of his offense's rush attempts near the end zone this year (87th percentile), is in the unique position (for a wideout) of being involved in the Jacksonville Jaguars red zone ground game.
  • Dyami Brown's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 78.0% to 54.0%.

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