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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Dyami Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+980/-2900).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2900.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
  • After accumulating 18.0 air yards per game last season, Dyami Brown has seen a big uptick this season, currently pacing 53.0 per game.
  • Dyami Brown's 30.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 17.9.
  • This year, the weak Titans pass defense has been torched for a whopping 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the worst rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a 6-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (47.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Jaguars.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Titans defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.

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