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Dyami Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Dyami Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+495/-500).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +490 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +495.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Dyami Brown has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (65.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).

Dyami Brown's 35.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 17.9.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars have been the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 51.5% red zone run rate.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects Dyami Brown to be a much smaller piece of his team's passing offense near the goal line in this contest (20.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (26.7% in games he has played).

Dyami Brown's 55.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a remarkable reduction in his receiving proficiency over last year's 78.0% figure.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest level in the league versus the Houston Texans defense this year (62.9% Adjusted Completion%).

More Dyami Brown Player Props

Dyami Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Dyami Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10