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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Dyami Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 5th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • The projections expect Dyami Brown to be a more important option in his offense's passing game in this contest (18.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (12.7% in games he has played).
  • This year, the poor Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has surrendered a whopping 70.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 4th-highest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jaguars are projected by the projection model to call only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Dyami Brown's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 78.0% to 59.5%.

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