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Dyami Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Dyami Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+116/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.

Dyami Brown's 34.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 17.9.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.4 per game) this year.

Dyami Brown's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 78.0% to 54.1%.

The Chargers pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (56.8%) to wideouts this year (56.8%).

More Dyami Brown Player Props

Dyami Brown ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Dyami Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 11