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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Dyami Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+160/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football (63.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jaguars.
  • The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Dyami Brown to total 6.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Dyami Brown's 35.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 17.9.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Dyami Brown's 55.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a remarkable reduction in his receiving proficiency over last year's 78.0% figure.
  • The Texans pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (55.9%) to wideouts this year (55.9%).
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Houston's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the league.

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