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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Dyami Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).
  • Dyami Brown's 34.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 17.9.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Jaguars profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.
  • Dyami Brown's 71.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a material decrease in his receiving skills over last year's 78.0% figure.
  • Dyami Brown's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a remarkable drop-off in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 8.8% rate.
  • The Chiefs defense has surrendered the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 111.0) vs. WRs this year.

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