My Account Log Out
 
 
Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Dyami Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-112/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
  • Dyami Brown has notched many more air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
  • Dyami Brown's 34.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 17.9.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.4 per game) this year.
  • Dyami Brown's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 78.0% to 54.1%.
  • With a poor 6.8 adjusted yards per target (16th percentile) this year, Dyami Brown places as one of the weakest wide receivers in the league in the league.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™