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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Dyami Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-108/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Dyami Brown to total 6.6 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Dyami Brown has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (65.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Dyami Brown's 55.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a remarkable reduction in his receiving proficiency over last year's 78.0% figure.
  • Dyami Brown grades out as one of the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a lowly 6.94 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 22nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers
  • Dyami Brown's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteable reduction in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 8.8% mark.
  • The Texans pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (55.9%) to wideouts this year (55.9%).

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