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D'Wayne Eskridge

D'Wayne Eskridge Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
D'Wayne Eskridge Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1400/-2400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (58.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Dolphins.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • After accruing 2.0 air yards per game last year, Dee Eskridge has produced significantly more this year, now sitting at 9.0 per game.
  • This year, the deficient Washington Commanders pass defense has yielded a staggering 69.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 4th-worst rate in football.
  • The Commanders defense has yielded the 4th-most TDs through the air in the league to WRs: 1.30 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by the model to run just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The 4th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 51.7 per game on average).
  • With a poor 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Dee Eskridge ranks among the WRs with the most usage near the goal line in football.
  • Dee Eskridge ranks in just the 12th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a feeble 6.2 figure this year.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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