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Durham Smythe Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Chicago Bears

Durham Smythe Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+4000/-12000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -12000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -12000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bears to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

The Bengals defense has given up the most receiving touchdowns in the league to tight ends: 1.25 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Bears to be the 5th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Bears to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.

With a dismal 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Durham Smythe has been as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.

Durham Smythe checks in as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends, hauling in just 53.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 9th percentile.

The receiving touchdown line reads "0" on Durham Smythe's box scores last year.

More Durham Smythe Player Props

Durham Smythe TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Chicago Bears

Durham Smythe Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9