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Durham Smythe

Durham Smythe Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Durham Smythe Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1900/-2250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1350 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.7 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • This year, the shaky Ravens pass defense has been torched for a colossal 94.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the largest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to be the 8th-most run-focused offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 47.0% red zone run rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to run 66.3 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • With a middling 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Durham Smythe rates as one of the TEs with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.
  • With a bad 53.6% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) last year, Durham Smythe has been as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football when it comes to tight ends.
  • Last year, Durham Smythe has not caught any receiving TDs last year.

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