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Durham Smythe Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Durham Smythe Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2200/-3000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +2200 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +2200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

The Bears offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Durham Smythe's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 53.6% to 63.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bears as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 8th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (47.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chicago Bears.

The forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

With a measly 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Durham Smythe places among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.

When it comes to air yards, Durham Smythe ranks in the lowly 9th percentile among TEs this year, accruing just 1.0 per game.

More Durham Smythe Player Props

Durham Smythe TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Durham Smythe Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19