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Durham Smythe

Durham Smythe Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Durham Smythe Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1000/-3400).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1000.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 137.6 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 62.1 per game on average).
  • The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Durham Smythe's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 53.6% to 56.9%.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 5th-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.69 per game) against the Browns defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bears as the 4th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bears to be the 6th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 48.1% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.5 per game) this year.
  • With a measly 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Durham Smythe stands among the TEs with the highest volume near the end zone in the league.

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