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Drew Sample

Drew Sample Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Drew Sample Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1350/-1600).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1600.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals may pass less in this week's game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Joe Flacco.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.9% red zone pass rate.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run only 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Bengals have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 50.3 plays per game.

Drew Sample has totaled a feeble 0.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 9th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year.

Drew Sample's 83.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving talent over last season's 91.4% figure.

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