My Account Log Out
 
 
Drew Sample

Drew Sample Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Drew Sample Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1350/-1900).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1600 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1900.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The Cardinals defense has given up the 6th-most TDs through the air in the league to tight ends: 0.53 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • Drew Sample has been not been very involved his team's passing offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 1.3% this year, which puts him in the 17th percentile among TEs.
  • Drew Sample has compiled a meager 0.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 3rd percentile among TEs.
  • Drew Sample rates in just the 22nd percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a bad 3.8 figure this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™