My Account Log Out
 
 
Drew Sample

Drew Sample Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Drew Sample Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+670/-2000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +780 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +670.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bengals are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 65.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (64.8% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cincinnati Bengals.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bengals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.24 seconds per snap.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a low 1.5% Red Zone Target% (22nd percentile) this year, Drew Sample ranks among the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.
  • In regards to air yards, Drew Sample ranks in the paltry 2nd percentile among TEs this year, totaling just 0.0 per game.
  • Drew Sample's 3.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the worst in football: 20th percentile for TEs.
  • The Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Drew Sample's 77.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects an impressive decline in his pass-catching skills over last year's 91.4% rate.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™