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Drew Sample Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Drew Sample Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+810/-1800).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +2100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +810.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals may throw the ball less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 69.0% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.8% red zone pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 130.7 offensive plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 53.7 plays per game.

Drew Sample has been been lightly used his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 2.0% this year, which ranks him in the 24th percentile among TEs.

Drew Sample has put up a measly 0.0 air yards per game this year: just 4th percentile among TEs.

Drew Sample's 2.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the worst in the NFL: 18th percentile for TEs.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.

More Drew Sample Player Props

Drew Sample TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Drew Sample Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12