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Drew Sample

Drew Sample Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Drew Sample Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-161).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals may pass less in this week's game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Joe Flacco.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide.

The Steelers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (39.2 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run only 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Bengals have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 50.3 plays per game.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year.

Drew Sample's 0.8 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a material reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 1.8 rate.

Drew Sample's 83.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving talent over last season's 91.4% figure.

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