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This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.Drew Sample rates in just the 22nd percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a bad 3.8 figure this year.The Cincinnati O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.With a puny 1.1 adjusted receptions per game (21st percentile) this year, Drew Sample has been among the worst pass-game tight ends in the NFL.
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