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Drew Sample

Drew Sample Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Drew Sample Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Drew Sample's 6.2 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a significant improvement in his receiving ability over last year's 5.1 mark.
  • The Cardinals defense has allowed the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (65.0) versus TEs this year.
  • This year, the poor Cardinals defense has allowed the 9th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a monstrous 7.84 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • Drew Sample has compiled a meager 0.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 3rd percentile among TEs.
  • Drew Sample rates in just the 22nd percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a bad 3.8 figure this year.
  • The Cincinnati O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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